The coming 2006 hurricane season

I waited till the NOAA came out with their forecast before posting about this. Here's the NOAA links:
http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2006/s2634.htm
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/outlooks/hurricane.shtml

Other places have concluded similarly:
http://wwwa.accuweather.com/promo-ad.asp?dir=aw&page=hurr2006
http://wwwa.accuweather.com/promo-ad.asp?dir=aw&page=hurr2006_2
http://forecast.mssl.ucl.ac.uk/
http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Forecasts/

They are all forecasting another very active year but less catastrophic than 2005. Note that 2005 was a record bad year in almost every way and 2004 was quite bad, if 2006 is as bad as 2005 or even 2004 then hurricane probabilities for the next 15 years or so will be bleak - there have been pairs of bad years together before but not 3 in a row like 2004 or worse as far as I know.

Comments are being made about a significant storm hitting the east US coast further north than most people might expect. Yep, that sounds plausible. I have no skill I'm aware of for predicting hurricanes this far in advance but here's what popped into my head: mid July category 2 aimed at Houston; late August category 3 running up the Carolinas' coast; early October category 4 cutting across southern Florida.

When the season hots up these are probably the best first places to look for info, forecasts and warnings:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurricane/index.asp